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Tong Ren

University of Birmingham


Tong Ren

Tong completed her PhD in Social Policy at the University of Birmingham. Her doctoral research examined the development and financial sustainability of China’s long-term care insurance (LTCI) system in the context of rapid population ageing and evolving central–local government relations. Drawing on policy diffusion theory and a central–local government relations perspective, the research traced the institutional trajectory of LTCI pilot programmes initiated in 2016 and their nationwide expansion from 2020. Using data from the China Long-Term Care Insurance System Pilot (CLIP) 2023 database, the study conducted a comparative analysis of financing mechanisms, benefit design, disability assessment, and public–private partnerships. The findings identified a gradual shift from decentralised local experimentation towards emerging national standardisation, while also highlighting persistent challenges such as regional inequality and fiscal pressure. To assess long-term fiscal sustainability, the research applied GM (1,1) grey forecasting and cell-based projection models, demonstrating how LTCI viability is shaped by local fiscal capacity, subsidy design, and central–local redistribution.

FURTHER INFORMATION

Countries China; United Kingdom;
Topics Long term care subsidies; LTC Policy; LTC Systems;
Methods Comparative policy analysis; Mixed methods; Policy analysis; Quantitative data analysis; Systematic Review;
Role Research;
Interest Groups Care home markets and regulation; Data Science; Economics of Long-Term Care; Employment Education and Family carers; Long-Term Care in China; Long-Term Care Policy; Quasi-experimental methods;
Websitehttps://www.birmingham.ac.uk/schools/social-policy/research/doctoral-researchers/profiles/ren-tong.aspx
X (Twitter)https://twitter.com/TongRen_UoB
Research interests

Long-term care insurance

Ageing issues

Social policy

Key publications

Ren, T. and Li, X. (2018). Analysis of the Impact of Delaying Retirement Policy on Pension Gap Rate. Modern Business, (12), pp.164–165. doi: https://doi.org/10.14097/j.cnki.5392/2018.12.083 [In Chinese].

Ren, T. and Li, X. (2020). Research on the Cash Payment Model in the Reform of Long-Term Care System. Labour Security World, (27), pp.58–59. doi: https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1007-7243.2020.27.027 [In Chinese].